Scenarios

To help us understand where current and future Bay Area residents will live, work and get around in Marin County and beyond, planners at MTC and ABAG have generated forecasts for jobs, housing, population, travel demand and transportation revenue. To show how these forecasts might play out over time—and to ensure the Plan is meeting the goals Bay Area residents helped identify in 2015—planners have developed three scenarios. Understanding how these three planning scenarios will impact life in Marin County helps us recognize what issues may become most important as a preferred scenario is developed and Plan Bay Area updated.

See how the three alternative scenarios might impact population, employment, and housing growth in this county.

Locally Adopted Priority Development Areas (PDAs) and Priority Conservation Areas (PCAs)

Located north of San Francisco and south of Sonoma County, Marin County is recognized for its natural and agricultural landscapes, which support local farming and ranching, tourism, recreation, wildlife habitat, and water supply. More than 50 percent of the county is protected open space and the Marin Agricultural Land Trust and the Marin County Department of Parks and Open Space have worked for decades to protect and preserve the county’s iconic landscapes. Plan Bay Area will support continued protection of the many Priority Conservation Areas in Marin County.

For decades, Marin County has managed growth through city-centered growth policies and focused development along the urbanized U.S. Route 101 Highway corridor. Golden Gate Transit bus service offers connections throughout the county and to surrounding areas. Ferry terminals in Sausalito, Tiburon, and Larkspur also connect residents to jobs in San Francisco. In late 2016, service will commence for the Sonoma-Marin Area Rail Transit (SMART) rail connection by linking San Rafael to Santa Rosa. Eventually, the service will link the Larkspur ferry terminal to Cloverdale. Click on the link to view highlights of the two locally adopted PDAs in Marin County.

Review the information presented in 2015 here.